Risks you can survive — a framework by Ole Wang

Hand-drawn diagram of framework 387, Risks you can survive: Big upside. Never a knockout. — Framework 387 · in one look

How to use it

Take risks for the big upside, but never one that can knock you out of the game. Dalio bet everything on a crash that never came and was left with one employee: himself. Size every bet so a total miss still leaves you able to play again.

How sure we are

E Evidence: built from practice. What works for coaches and practitioners. Labelled that way.

Sources

Ray Dalio's 1982 story (🟠) · see 269: the yearly failure budget, and 369: the infinite game.

Not medical, legal or financial advice.

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More build frameworks

406 EFill the two buckets nobody can emptyChoose for skills. The rest overflows.417 ECopy their start, not their nowFind their year one. That's your year.269 EThe yearly failure budgetOne project a year that might fail.247 EBuild the roomBuild the room where you're best.238 CPShow it doneTell one person. Show everyone the result.153 PCForecast in percentages, score yourselfPut a number on it, then keep score.